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Polls, polls, polls. (2.00 / 1)

Yesterday one showed Obama and Clinton tied.  Today a different one shows this.

Why do I feel polling is not an exact science?


by TomP on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 10:34:33 AM EST
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it is not (2.00 / 6)

and some polls are better than others.  Also, what you can take from a polls is often different depending on what you want to see.

However each poll has something to say and we are discussing this one today.


DON'T COUNT THE VOTES, DON'T COUNT THE VOTES.... Obama and the Obamaettes... spring 2008
by TeresaINPennsylvania on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 10:57:54 AM EST
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I did not say you cannot discuss it. (2.00 / 1)

I just find it amusing that teh differences are so stark.

In the end, the poll that matters is the vote in Pennsylvania.  I don't care which Dem wins, so I find the difference among the polls amusing.

They both cannot be right.


by TomP on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 11:49:55 AM EST
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It is odd that the differences are so stark (2.00 / 4)

but SUSA is definitely the best this cycle and last.  I think the differences actually indicate the negative Clinton coverage over the last couple weeks and some expected fluctuation as a result.  PA will turn out for Clinton, any Clinton big time.  Hell, I know a who gaggle of Bucks county Republicans that already switched to vote for her- and no, Republicans in Bucks County don't really listen to Rush (most of them anyway).  Whether she wins the nom or not, PA is an absolutely perfect state for Clinton.


SpendWell
by linc on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 12:08:52 PM EST
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Re: It is odd that the differences are so stark (none / 0)

Thanks for the info.

The flucations in polls seemed not to make any sense.  It shoudl be interesting to see what happens.


by TomP on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 12:20:14 PM EST
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I stopped following non-SUSA polls two months ago. (2.00 / 1)

SUSA really is the gold standard this season.

I'm a bit disappointed by the findings of this poll, but I'm willing to bet that it's pretty accurate.  I can't say that about, say, Zogby or Rasmussen (or worse, ARG).


Wouldn't it be nice if there were no rhetorical questions?
by Elsinora on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 02:19:38 PM EST
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Re: I stopped following non-SUSA polls two months (none / 0)

Recc'ed for the great sig :-)

(Plus I agree with you about SUSA).


Jim Martin for Senate!
by markjay on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 03:46:38 PM EST
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